Thursday, August 21, 2014

Reliance Steel (RS) 2014 Review

Reliance Steel provides value-added metals processing services and distributes more than 100,000 metal products.  The company has grown profits and dividends at a 17-18% rate and earned a 7-19% return on equity over the last ten years.  RS operations are subject to macroeconomic forces; however, it should grow at an above average pace over a business cycle as a result of:

(1) despite slow economic growth, it is witnessing improvement in its core customer base (aerospace and energy) resulting in both rising demand and prices,

(2) acquisitions (latest: Metals USA),

(3) an excellent cost control discipline.

Negatives:

(1) the lackluster nonresidential construction market is impacting sales of carbon steel,

(2) rising raw material costs,

(3) industry overcapacity.

RS is rated B++ by Value Line, has a debt/equity ratio of approximately 35% and its stock yields 2.0%

Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2004

RS             2.0%           16               22%              7
Ind Ave      2.3               7                36               NA 

                   Debt/                       EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                  Equity        ROE      Since 2004      Margin       Rating

RS              35%             11%            2                 5%           B++
Ind Ave       37                 7              NA               4             NA

       Chart

            Note: RS stock made great progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its June 2008 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, it is in an uptrend (blue lines).  Earlier this year, it broke its intermediate term uptrend and re-set to a trading range (purple lines).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Aggressive Growth Portfolio owns a full position in RS.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $33; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $95.




8/14

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