Thursday, October 3, 2013

T Rowe Price (TROW) 2013 Review


T. Rowe Price Group Inc provides investment advisory and administrative services to an assortment of no load funds, sponsored investment products and private accounts.  The company has generated an 18-20%+ return on equity and a 13-15% growth rate in earnings and dividends over the 10 years.  While TROW suffered a decline in assets under management due primarily to the late 2008-early 2009 decline in stock prices, a recovery occurred in 2010 and should continue as a result of:

(1) the excellent track record of its funds as well as recent investor optimism has  increased the value of current assets under management as well as attracting new customers,

(2) the introduction of new products such as country funds,

(3) an aggressive cost cutting program.

Negatives:

(1)   any decline in stock prices will impact assets under management,

(2)   increasing volatile markets,

(3)   more government regulation,

(4)   a highly competitive industry.

TROW is rated A+ by Value Line, has no debt and its stock yields 2.1%.

Statistical Summary

                  Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases   
                  Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2003

TROW        2.1%           9%              37%             9
Ind Ave       2.1              12               20               NA  

                Debt/                       EPS Down       Net        Value Line
              Equity         ROE      Since 2003      Margin       Rating

TROW       0%            25%            2                 32%            A+
Ind Ave      36             18              NA               17              NA

     Chart

            Note: TROW stock made good progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its September 2008 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, it is in an uptrend (blue line is lower boundary).  Intermediate term, it is a trading range (purple lines).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Dividend Growth and Aggressive Growth Portfolios own a full position in TROW.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $45; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $134.




10/13

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